Will the amount of new foreclosures in South Lake Tahoe be reduced by the Obama administrations plan to aid home owners?
A recent article from REALTOR® Magazine Online explains the Obama administrations long-awaited plan to 
1.) Help for home owners making their payments but at risk of default and foreclosure.
Home owners with a Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac loan would be eligible to refinance as long as their mortgage doesn’t exceed 105 percent of the home’s current market value. Currently owners need to have at least 20 percent equity. Potential impact: 4-5 million households.
2.) Help for home owners already in default and in need of loan modification.
For lenders that voluntarily agree to lower a borrower’s payment so that it makes up no more than 38 percent of the borrower’s income, the government would share the cost of lowering the mortgage burden to 31 percent of income. Incentives to lenders to participate include a $1,000 payment.
Borrowers can receive up to $1,000 as an incentive to stay current on their new mortgage. Still in the works is a proposed provision that would allow bankruptcy judges to require loan modification (known as a cramdown) as part of a household’s restructuring. That provision requires legislation by Congress. Estimated potential impact: 3-4 million households.
3.) Doubled resources to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.
To encourage investors to buy the secondary market companies’ mortgage-backed securities, the government explicitly backstops them to up to $400 billion, twice the current amount.
The plan does not provide help to investors or to home owners who are in trouble with a second home, nor does it apply to homeowners whose mortgage is part of a private-label mortgage security that is not backed by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac.
“The administration’s proposed plan, combined with provisions like the $8,000 first-time home buyer tax credit in the just-enacted American Recovery and Reinvestment Act, will help minimize foreclosures, shrink housing inventory, stabilize home values, and move the country closer to an economic recovery,” says NAR President Charles McMillan.
Source: REALTOR® Magazine Online
I think that the plan will have a minimal effect in reducing the number of new South Lake Tahoe foreclosures because the plan does not help second home owners or investors. There are some homes in South Lake Tahoe that are owned as primary residences, but the majority of our market are second homes and vacation homes. A lot of the homes that are being foreclosed on here in Lake Tahoe are the vacation homes and investment homes.
There were a lot of fixer upper homes purchased by investors and speculators when the real estate market was booming. The investors then spent money fixing the properties up, or had planned on fixing them up and then selling them until the market started going down. When equity lines of credit were cut off, a lot of investors and speculators lost the money they were using to complete their projects and to pay for the holding costs. The market went down, and many home owners could not afford to sell them for less than what they owed.
The plan also will only help home owners who have loans backed by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac. The plan should assist between 7 and 9 million home owners, but unless backed by Fannie or Freddie this plan will not help.
Hopefuly the Obama administration’s plan will help some of the local home owners in trouble, but I believe that the effect on the South Lake Tahoe Real Estate market will be minimal.
This Lake Tahoe Real Estate blog post was written by Brent Johnson. If you would like to talk about the South Lake Tahoe real estate market, homes for sale in South lake Tahoe, or South Lake Tahoe foreclosures, please contact Brent and Jill Johnson today!
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